A Synopsis - April 2002
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Cloud seeding generator near the headwaters
of the Walker River
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PURPOSE OF PROGRAM:
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Augment snowfall in selected mountainous regions of Nevada to increase
the snowpack, the resultant spring runoff and the water supplies of municipalities,
agricultural regions, recreational lakes, and environmentally threatened
terminal lakes (Pyramid and Walker).
AREAS OF ACTIVITY:
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The basins of Lake Tahoe, the Truckee River, the Carson River, the Walker
River, the Upper Humboldt River (Ruby Mountains), the South Fork of the
Owyhee River (Tuscarora Mountains), and the Reese River (Toiyabe Mountains).
HISTORY OF OPERATION:
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Cloud seeding has been conducted in the Tahoe area since the 1960's.
The original seeding equipment was acquired mainly through U.S. Bureau
of Reclamation (USBR) grants to DRI (e.g., Pyramid Lake Project).
The Ruby Mountain operation started in 1981 using surplus USBR generators.
State funding for the program began as early as 1979-80, and continuous
State funding has been available since 1984. Four remotely-controlled
generators and two weather stations were added in 1992 through a special
USBR grant ($300,000). The Desert Research Institute has designed
and operated the Nevada State program since its inception.
METHOD OF OPERATION:
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Primarily, ground-based generators are used to burn a solution of silver
iodide-sodium iodide and salt in acetone to release silver chloro-iodide
particles which create additional ice crystals, then snow, in winter
clouds. Weather conditions are selected to optimize fallout in targeted
basins. All generators are remotely operated by radio or cellular telephone.
A seeding aircraft is at times used to augment ground seeding operations.
The aircraft releases AgI from pyrotechnic flares or solution burners.
Dry ice is also used in airport fog clearing operations.
Seeding Equipment:
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Nineteen (19) remotely controlled AgI generators.
Supporting Equipment:
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Weather stations on at least one seeding generator in each targeted basin.
DRI/NWS hydro-meteorological network in the Tahoe area - access to
RAWS, SNOTEL and other meteorological data networks through the DRI Western
Regional Climate Center - NEXRAD radar and GOES satellite imagery - the
DRI trace chemistry laboratory - DRI microwave radiometers for sensing
cloud liquid water - an NCAR ice nucleus counter for detecting AgI plumes
- laser imaging probes for measuring cloud particles.
Supporting Personnel:
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Three full time technicians who install and maintain all generator networks
and fabricate new generators - two part time professionals who forecast
seeding operations, implement design changes, evaluate operations, monitor
environmental aspects of the program and evaluate seeding effectiveness.
ESTIMATED BENEFITS
OF PROGRAM:
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Benefits vary with the seasonal frequency of suitable weather opportunities.
Research results have documented precipitation rate increases of 0.1 -
1.5 millimeters per hour due to ground-based seeding during the proper
weather conditions. Estimates of augmented water from seeding have
varied from 20,000 to 80,000 acre-feet over each of the last ten years.
Seasonal percentage increase estimates have varied from four to 10%; generally
greater in drought years; less in above normal years. The cost of
augmented water, based on the cost of the program, has ranged from $7 to
about $18 per acre-foot.
COOPERATIVE DRI RESEARCH:
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The State program originated as an outgrowth of DRI weather modification
research programs funded through the USBR and the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Pertinent research findings are
immediately applied to operations. Research equipment is often shared
with the State program at no cost. Current DRI research is aimed at quantitative
evaluation of winter storm cloud seeding and model simulations of seeding
plume transport.
Operational Guidelines and
Safety Restrictions
In the event of any emergency which affects public welfare in the region
of any seeding operations being carried on by the Nevada State Weather
Modification Program, those seeding operations in that region will be suspended
until the emergency conditions are no longer a threat to the public. Seeding
suspensions are generally expected to occur due to one or more of the following
conditions:
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When the avalanche category, determined by the U.S. Forest Service, is
designated as EXTREME.
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When the National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts a warm winter storm (freezing
level >8000 ft.) with the possibility of considerable rain at the higher
elevations which might lead to local flooding.
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When the Project Meteorologist determines that potential flood conditions
may exist in or around any of the project areas he will consult with the
National Weather Service Flood Forecast Services at Reno or Sacramento
about the possibility of any of the following warnings or forecasts being
in effect.
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Flash flood warnings by the NWS.
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Forecasts of excessive runoff issued by the River Forecast Center, including
such forecasts for rivers on the adjoining west slope of the Sierra Nevada.
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Quantitative precipitation forecasts issued by the NWS which would produce
excessive runoff in or around the project area.
In addition to the above, if any of the following conditions or forecasts
exist, seeding operations may be suspended at the discretion of the Project
Meteorologist in and around the areas of concern:
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When the wind speed is 60 knots or more for over 30 minutes at the 700
mb level (~10,000 ft). For monitoring purposes in the western part
of Nevada, the winds measured at Slide Mountain (9,650 ft) are considered
equivalent to the 700 mb level winds. The Reno and Elko radiosondes can
also be used to monitor this criteria, as can the Doppler winds from the
Reno and Elko NEXRAD radars.
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When wind directions lie outside of the range between 180 and 340 degrees
during ground-based seeding operations on the west side of the Sierra Nevada
crest. The winds measured at Slide Mountain or Ward Peak (8,480 ft), and
the radiosondes and NEXRAD Doppler winds from Reno and Elko can be used
to monitor wind direction.
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When the water content of the snowpack in the target area, as measured
at existing snow courses or SNOTEL sites, exceeds the accumulation envelope
defined by the following percentages to date of long-term averages on the
same date:
| December 1 |
175% |
February 1 |
150% |
April 1 |
140% |
| January 1 |
150% |
March 1 |
150% |
May 1 |
140% |
Intermediate limits shall be derived by linear interpolation between
the percentages given above.
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During major holidays such as Thanksgiving, Christmas, New Year's Day,
and President's Day, in areas and times of heavy traffic on Highways 50
and 80, over the Sierra Nevada.
8/27/90 Revised: 7/1/99
Weather
Monitoring Facilities and Procedures
The Nevada State Weather Modification Program is operated from the Desert
Research Institute Division of Atmospheric Sciences, located in the Northern
Nevada Science Center (NNSC), Reno, Nevada. The project has 24-hour
access to a broad base of National Weather Service (NWS) weather data through
UNIDATA, a program managed by the University Corporation for Atmospheric
Research (UCAR). The data are received over the INTERNET. Additional WEB
sites on the INTERNET provide other data and forecasts. A partial list
of weather data products is as follows:
A) National Weather Service Public Product Service
giving hourly weather conditions.
B) DIFAX Service giving a selection of weather maps
24-hours-per-day.
C) A selection of weather satellite maps and other
products 24-hours-per-day.
D) Near real time NEXRAD radar images from all NEXRAD
sites in the western U.S.
In addition to the above National Weather Service data products, the
data from remote weather stations on Slide Mountain, Ward Peak, Conway
Summit, a site near the Ruby Mountains, a site near Tuscarora, NV,
and a site in the Wassuk Mountains are continuously available through the
Internet or telephone modem at the NNSC. Data from the Bureau of
Land Management RAWS network, the Natural Resource Conservation Service
SNOTEL network, and from a local NWS hydro-
meteorological network are available through the DRI Western Regional
Climate Center on a near real time basis. These sources provide additional
local information concerning air temperature, humidity, wind, precipitation,
and snowpack accumulation. In addition, the INTERNET provides access to
a wide range of weather images, including composites of radar, satellite
and surface images. Nevada State Cloud Seeding staff also confer directly
with the National Weather Service forecasters and National Forest Service
staff when flood or avalanche potential exists in any of the project areas.
[See Operational and Safety Guidelines.]
8/27/90 Revised 6/18/01
Cloud
Seeding Operations Criteria
The following weather and cloud conditions should exist to initiate
or continue cloud seeding operations in any one of the operational areas
of the Nevada State Program. Operations can also be initiated based
on a 0-3 h forecast of these conditions existing in any of the three operational
areas. Seeding suspension criteria will always override seeding operations
criteria.
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Cloudiness of sufficient areal extent to cover at least 50% of the intended
target area. Verification is by means of GOES visible or infrared
satellite images.
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Clouds of sufficient depth, with cloud bases at least as low as the highest
mountain peaks, to provide the potential for precipitation over the target
areas. Verification of these conditions can be obtained by one or
more of the following:
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NWS hourly reports of cloud conditions and precipitation at, but not limited
to, the following sites: MMH, BLU, TRK, TVL, RNO, EKO.
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Visual observations and/or reports of cloud conditions by the Project Meteorologist,
other Project Staff, or contacts in any of the project areas.
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Observation of precipitation from any automatic recording gauge whose data
are telemetered by telephone modem or the Internet to DRI. The DRI has
access to many such gages in the Sierra Nevada and other mountain ranges
throughout Nevada.
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WSR-88D radar images obtained from Sacramento, Reno or Elko NWS radar sites.
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Wind directions that are conducive to transporting seeding material over
the target areas. This criteria will vary by area as follows:
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Truckee-Tahoe area: Wind direction at 700 mb, as measured by the
Reno NWS soundings (or soundings launched by the Sacramento Municipal Utilities
District “SMUD” from Fresh Pond, Calif.) or estimated by weather stations
close to the 10,000 ft altitude level, from (clockwise) between 180 and
340 degrees.
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Carson-Walker: For ground seeding cloud level wind directions from
135 to 270 degrees as verified by the weather stations near Conway Summit
and in the Wassuk Mountains .
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Ruby Mountains: Wind directions in the cloud layer from 190 to 330
degrees as verified by the NWS Elko radiosonde, or remote weather station
data.
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Tuscarora area: Wind directions in the cloud layer from 90 to 270 degrees
as verified by the NWS Elko radiosonde, or remote weather station data.
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Toiyabe Mountain area: Wind directions in the cloud layer from 90 to 270
degrees as verified by remote weather station data, or upper air weather
maps.
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Wind speeds at or near 700 mb should not exceed 30 m s-1 (~60
kt) in order that adequate time be available for growth of ice crystals
initiated by seeding. Mountain top weather stations, NWS Reno and
Elko radiosondes and SMUD soundings will provide verification of wind speed.
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The existence of supercooled liquid water in clouds is a condition necessary
for successful cloud seeding. This quantity is not routinely measured
over all the target areas, but the observation of icing at Slide Mountain
(or other mountain top site), or the observation of liquid water from one
of DRI's microwave radiometers should be given strong consideration in
the decision to initiate a seeding operation in any area where these data
are available. When available these data will be used in postseason evaluations
of seeding operations.
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To increase the likelihood of ice crystal formation by AgI seeding aerosols
from ground generators, the temperature near 10,000 ft should be -5°C,
or colder, as verified by data from the mountain top weather stations,
or Reno, Elko, or SMUD soundings. Operations may be initiated at
a temperature as warm as -3°C, provided the -5°C threshold is forecast
to be met within 0 to 3 hours.
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For aircraft seeding in the Truckee-Tahoe or Carson-Walker regions, winds
can have a wide variety of wind directions. The airborne seeding contractor,
in coordination with the DRI Project Meteorologist, will determine suitable
wind conditions based on radar observations, soundings, or NWS upper air
charts. Flight levels will be selected to ensure that seeding material
is released at temperatures colder than . The presence of supercooled
liquid water must be verified for aircraft seeding operations to be initiated
or continued.
The Nevada State Program Meteorologist is responsible for forecasting and
verifying seedable conditions, and also initiating and terminating operations.
Logs documenting the weather conditions during an operation will be kept
by the meteorologist and included in the report on each season's operations.
8/27/90 Revised: 6/18/01

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